North America June Weather Discussion
So far, the beginning of summer has been rather wet and cool with no truly hot weather as of yet. Every time they predict a hot spell, it gets knocked down a few notches and the talk of 90*F on Monday has been scaled down to a more reasonable 83*F, which is about 1 standard deviation from average (me being the statistics expert that I am :D ).
Today has been beautiful so far with temps in the mid '70s (About 25*C), but a bit surprising. The forecast had called for a slight chance (20%) of thunderstorms, but there are several cells developing and heading our way. The national weather service has said that small hail and heavy rain is a possibility, so this will just add to our total and put us very close to total drought relief.
The weather will get warmer with chances for thunderstorms.. otherwise it's just very green here.
We are under a heat advisory :(
Partly cloudy, hot and humid with a 20% chance for isolated afternoon showers. Highs near 92; Heat Index in some locations from 100-105.
Continued hot and humid with a 10% chance for isolated showers. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs near 94, with heat indices between 100-105.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
Continued hot and humid with a 20% chance for isolated showers. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs near 92.
FRIDAY THRU SATURDAY
Partly cloudy and hot with a 30% chance for spotty showers or thunderstorms. Lows in the 70s, highs in the upper 80s.
We had a bit of rain from a thunderstorm that passed just south of Bemidji at about 8:30pm. I was waiting in line at a walk up Dairy Queen (a famous ice cream chain, especially in the midwest). I had to brave a few minutes of moderate rain with the sun shining through the clouds creating a spectacular rainbow over Lake Bemidji. The just re-polished copper on the county Courthouse was glistening in the warm golden sunlight.. a scene straight out of the movies.
Today it is warm, with temperatures in the low '80s (28*C or so) and the forecast is calling once more for hot (by Minnesota standards) weather tomorrow with temps expected to reach 88*F (31*C). There are slight chances for thunderstorms today and tomorrow with a greater chance on Wednesday and Thursday as the weather stays warm with temps ranging from the upper 70s to upper 80s over the next week. Night time lows in the low '60s will keep the mosquitoes and flies reproducing en force, making evenings around the lake treacherous.
I've been spending a lot of time lately planting flowers and vegetables in the garden, and I was surprised to see my 3 year old Lilac bush in full bloom this week. All of the flowers have kept the bumble bees busy. We've also had about 5 or 6 regulars at the Hummingbird feeder. Summer is definitely here.
This morning has been muggy and warm, with temperatures reaching 80*F by 11am, when a line of storms exploded just west of Bemidji. It was mostly just a heavy rain event and the storms have passed just to our east now, with the sun coming back out. The strong sun angle from mid-day in combination with a moist airmass has made it even more humid with relative humidity at 80%, a dewpoint of 68*F, and a temperature now in the mid 70s.
Isolated severe storms are possible throughout the afternoon and evening with temps topping out around 80*F. A more significant threat for severe weather will move across North Dakota and into Minnesota tomorrow night and Sunday. Isolated tornadoes have not been ruled out.
The pattern looks to stay active for the next few days before we dry out a bit with temps staying at to slightly above normal.
The dynamic nature of this line of storms and its extremely fast pace will likely cause wind damage and possible isolated tornadoes.
The power has been flickering a LOT in the past 10 minutes, so I'm signing off now. See you all on the other side!
This storm was mostly a wind event and the rain wasn't all that heavy. Further north, the rain was heavy and the winds even stronger. Many trees have been reported over roads north of town.
This morning was cloudy and calm with a few sprinkles, but the front has now passed and temps are in the low '70s with a breeze out of the WNW with sunny skies and low humidity. It's setting up to be a beautiful afternoon.
Temps will climb over the next several days with increasing chances for thunderstorms. It will likely be hot and humid again by the weekend (read: mid-to-upper 80s with dewpoints in the 60s and 70s.)
Ireturned to Montreal on June 4th and most of the time since then it has been very summery with temperatures in the upper 20Cs or lower 80F in the daytime without too much humidity due to persistent high pressure to the north of us. A cold front came through yesterday afternoon with heavy showers and one boom of thunder at about 2:30 pm. Today is again sunny but fresher with our present temperature at 24C/75.2F, however the wind is now beginning to set in from the SW in advance of an approaching warm front and tomorrow looks as though it is due to be a lot hotter for a while before thunderstorms arrive. We have now moved to a new location on the banks of the Saint Lawrence river with a glorious view to the south so I can now study the weather and the sky direcly from our living room and balcony, yesterday we had some very photogenic TCs and CBs but today the sky is overcasting with high cirrostratus in advance of the approaching front.
The weather here is beautiful today with a few puffy clouds, but otherwise deep blue skies with a light breeze and temperatures in the upper 70s (25*C). I'm happy because many of my flower plants are really sprouting up. With the warm and wet weather, the flowers have been in heaven lately. Unfortunately, there aren't many bees around this year.
The forecast looks generally hot and wet with temperatures rising to the mid-to-upper 80s over the next few days into the weekend with chances of rain. The NWS is already issuing weather outlooks that could bring severe weather back to the area by Sunday. Of course that's still a ways off, but still something to keep in mind.
A team of British canoe enthusiasts, one of which is paraplegic are currently canoing the Mississippi River. They began on Saturday at Lake Itasca. They haven't updated the site since then, but they did meet with the mayor of Bemidji. The whole purpose of the ride is to raise money for research into spinal injuries as one of the canoeists was paralyzed in a motorcycle accident a few years ago.
You can track the journey here:
I can't imagine the first stretch of the trip was all that fun for them. I've tubed down this portion of the river before. The river is about 10' deep this year and varies from being out in open bogs and marshes with various arms that can lead to dead ends, to confusing bends through the deep maple/ash forests with trees down, blocking completely the path that you have to get out of the canoe and portage for.
Once you get through that, you have to paddle through several large lakes and then portage various dams that have no locks.
I have a feeling the journey will become easier as they get further south, until they get to the deep south where alligators and oppressive heat start to become an issue. I wish the best for them, however. It's for a good cause.
Does anybody know why whenever cold fronts approach this area and other regions in the eastern half of Canada and the US in the summer the intense thundershowers always form up into lines about 200 miles apart in advance of the front. I would expect a line along the front and there nearly always is but why do they also form hundreds of miles in advance of the cold fronts ? Frequently there are 3 or 4 such lines.
Anyway the entire system slowed down later in the day and eventually more or less fizzled out overnight. Today was a breezy and bright and much fresher dat with a high near 23C/73.4F with breeze from the WNW. It was a lot more comfortable.
I would guess that these advance lines probably form from favorable conditions ahead of the front, from southerly winds that bring up lots of moist, warm air. But I'm no weather expert, and I think that my answer is incomplete.
Onto weather here:
It was pretty hot today with a high of 87*F (30.5*C) with dewpoints in the upper 60s making it feel very hot. According to the weather forecasts, no storms have been forecast for tonight, but the NWS has issued a tornado watch in effect until 5am local time that does include Bemidji, though we are on the southeast corner of the watch.
Storms have been flaring up and taking weird tracks, some of which have been straight north to south accross the region. I got a picture of a nice anvil formation that was about 50 miles east of Bemidji that looked like it could have been tornadic. I'll keep you posted if anything does affect us, though I don't think we'll get anything.
Hot and humid again for tomorrow and Monday with a more substantial chance for severe weather Monday and Monday night. Highs will reach to near 90 tomorrow and into the lower 90s on Monday with high humidity. The front passes Tuesday ushering in much more pleasant weather with a few days of temps in the lower to mid 70s and cool nights dipping into the 40s before another ridge of high pressure builds and brings the heat back on.
The July outlook for Minnesota appears to have equal chances of below or above average precip and temperatures, though the CPC does think this pattern of wetness and cooler weather across the southern and central plains will hold through July. This would likely mean above average precipitation here as well. Unlike places just to our west, we are not far off of average with rainfall being about 2" above normal for this time of year, which has done a lot to squelch last year's drought. Aberdeen, South Dakota, meanwhile, has a surplus of a foot and river flooding has resulted in that region.
I'll probably post a summary of 2007 so far at the beginning of July as we are over the hump now.