Can I sugest we use this thread to disucss tropical model output, and to speculate on potential future cyclones? This way we can keep the *potential* discussion away from the main storm threads.
To kick off with, the GFS suggests that the convective mass inland over western Africa at the moment will emerge from the coast as the next tropical wave following Bertha and quickly form into the next TS of the 2008 season. Due to a strengthening ridge, forward speed of this feature is not exactly slow, and probably as a result, development is correspondingly slow. This has been a feature of the lat 4 GFS runs; it shoudl be borne in mind that GFS had Bertha on 20 consecutive runs before she actually formed.
And you are all defintely right, I should get out more :)
Finally, as is with other areas of the UKWeatherworld forum, but more so the tropical forum, the contents of these threads are for discussional purposes only, and should not be used by anybody as a forecast of future events. For detailed and accurate forecasts, consult with your local met office, who will provide you with forecasts specific to your area.