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Bear in mind I haven't seen any good aurora before....some of you may have.
Streamers gone now but green glow is still advancing, maybe 20 degrees up now. Off out now - may be some time....
Aurora Watch 2012 Forecasts, analysis and sightings for the year.
#82
- Group: Members
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- LocationAmble, Northumberland
Posted 11 March 2012 - 20:37
What do we think for North Northumberland? Thats where I am, sky is clear!
#83
- Group: Members
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- LocationAmble, Northumberland
Posted 11 March 2012 - 20:47
#85
- Group: Forum Managers
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- Joined: 29-December 04
- LocationWest nor'west London
Posted 11 March 2012 - 22:51
#86
- Group: Members
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- Joined: 21-March 10
- LocationAmble, Northumberland
Posted 11 March 2012 - 22:53
very light activity, something to do with the winds blowing it further south or something
#87
Posted 11 March 2012 - 22:59
I seen reports from North East Scotland and Fife low on the Horizon some pics here http://www.flickr.co...57629199559022/
#88
- Group: Members
- Posts: 916
- Joined: 21-March 10
- LocationAmble, Northumberland
Posted 11 March 2012 - 23:07
Dave Hancox, on 11 March 2012 - 22:59, said:
I seen reports from North East Scotland and Fife low on the Horizon some pics here http://www.flickr.co...57629199559022/
Very lucky, I've been out twice tonight, nothing to see though
#89
Posted 11 March 2012 - 23:11
Tony Sales, on 11 March 2012 - 23:07, said:
Very lucky, I've been out twice tonight, nothing to see though
100% cloud cover here Tony.
#90
- Group: Chasers
- Posts: 233
- Joined: 14-May 06
- LocationDundee, Scotland
Posted 11 March 2012 - 23:39
Headed out this evening for a bit, about 15 miles north of Dundee and managed to get a few pics.
Attached thumbnail(s)
#92
Posted 11 March 2012 - 23:41
Here's two of mine - was only a brief show and by the time we'd got the car out and moved to somewhere a bit better it was starting to die off. Pretty low to the horizon now.
Attached thumbnail(s)
This post has been edited by Tim Prosser: 12 March 2012 - 00:09
#93
Posted 12 March 2012 - 00:05
Great shots Colin and Tim, was out and about a few times but some (annoyingly localised) cloud obscuring any view here. (Colin - I had no credit to reply, sorry mate)
Liz, the geomagnetic storm reports by the SWPC are a very US biased 'planetary' average, but going by the activity from Kiruna our part of the N Hem is quite active this evening. One of the SAM European magnetometer plots (attached, by a famous person?) gives an equivalent K=5 which would be a G1 geomagnetic storm. Incidentally, Crooktree barely flinched
Still not clear whether the second CME has arrived, in all likelihood it will be an average of the various predictions - tomorrow? This auroral activity may be after-effects of today's impact.
Edit - not sure how accurate the Ovation plots are (as they're not a direct observation, but a model extrapolation), but found the attached one interesting because it would've been our position before midnight.
Liz, the geomagnetic storm reports by the SWPC are a very US biased 'planetary' average, but going by the activity from Kiruna our part of the N Hem is quite active this evening. One of the SAM European magnetometer plots (attached, by a famous person?) gives an equivalent K=5 which would be a G1 geomagnetic storm. Incidentally, Crooktree barely flinched
Still not clear whether the second CME has arrived, in all likelihood it will be an average of the various predictions - tomorrow? This auroral activity may be after-effects of today's impact.
Edit - not sure how accurate the Ovation plots are (as they're not a direct observation, but a model extrapolation), but found the attached one interesting because it would've been our position before midnight.
Attached thumbnail(s)
#94
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- LocationHornsea, East Yorkshire. 10m AMSL
Posted 12 March 2012 - 00:36
Being out observing a few hours now, and have not seen any trace of aurora tonight although the skies are clear with a limiting magnitude of around 5.7.
The moon is now rising which does not help matters, hopefully better luck tomorrow night.
The moon is now rising which does not help matters, hopefully better luck tomorrow night.
#95
- Group: Members
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- Joined: 21-March 10
- LocationAmble, Northumberland
Posted 12 March 2012 - 08:07
great photos everyone 
im very jealous! My time will come, haha
im very jealous! My time will come, haha
#96
Posted 12 March 2012 - 09:39
Worth keeping an eye on the next couple of evenings if skies clear - http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3
PRESTOFROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Sun Mar 11 2012, 1259 UT
Cataniasunspot group 65 (NOAA AR 1429) maintains beta-gamma-deltaconfiguration of its photospheric magnetic field, and two more groups(still unnumbered) appeared from behind the east limb. We expectcontinuous flaring activity on the C-level, and another M-class flareis probable, especially in Catania sunspot group 65 (NOAA AR 1429).An X-class flare is possible, but unlikely.
Cataniasunspot group 65 (NOAA AR 1429) produced an M8.4 flare peaking at17:44 UT yesterday. The flare was accompanied by coronal dimmings, anEIT wave and a post-eruption arcade observed by SDO/AIA, and a fullhalo CME first detected in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 18:00UT. STEREO/SECCHI COR2 data indicate that the bulk of the CMEmaterial is directed northward of the ecliptic plane. A preliminaryestimate of the CME plane-of-the-sky speeds in the LASCO and COR2 Adata gives values around 900 and 800 km/s respectively. We expect thecorresponding ICME to arrive at the Earth early on March 13,resulting in a moderate to strong (K = 6-7) geomagnetic storm.
TheEarth is currently inside a slow (around 440 km/s) solar wind flowwith weak to average (2-4 nT) interplanetary magnetic fieldmagnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the next severalhours. Later this evening (or tomorrow morning) we expect a strong (K= 7 or higher) geomagnetic storm due to the arrival of the magneticcloud corresponding to the full halo CME on March 9.
Theproton event is still going on, and we expect it to last for at leastanother 12 hours.
Also a great tool thats been launched is the Uk Aurora Map (Live Reports of Visible Aurora) by Matt Gray. Worth marking any sightings to give others a chance of seeing them see link http://www.mattg.co.uk/aurora/
PRESTOFROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Sun Mar 11 2012, 1259 UT
Cataniasunspot group 65 (NOAA AR 1429) maintains beta-gamma-deltaconfiguration of its photospheric magnetic field, and two more groups(still unnumbered) appeared from behind the east limb. We expectcontinuous flaring activity on the C-level, and another M-class flareis probable, especially in Catania sunspot group 65 (NOAA AR 1429).An X-class flare is possible, but unlikely.
Cataniasunspot group 65 (NOAA AR 1429) produced an M8.4 flare peaking at17:44 UT yesterday. The flare was accompanied by coronal dimmings, anEIT wave and a post-eruption arcade observed by SDO/AIA, and a fullhalo CME first detected in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 18:00UT. STEREO/SECCHI COR2 data indicate that the bulk of the CMEmaterial is directed northward of the ecliptic plane. A preliminaryestimate of the CME plane-of-the-sky speeds in the LASCO and COR2 Adata gives values around 900 and 800 km/s respectively. We expect thecorresponding ICME to arrive at the Earth early on March 13,resulting in a moderate to strong (K = 6-7) geomagnetic storm.
TheEarth is currently inside a slow (around 440 km/s) solar wind flowwith weak to average (2-4 nT) interplanetary magnetic fieldmagnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the next severalhours. Later this evening (or tomorrow morning) we expect a strong (K= 7 or higher) geomagnetic storm due to the arrival of the magneticcloud corresponding to the full halo CME on March 9.
Theproton event is still going on, and we expect it to last for at leastanother 12 hours.
Also a great tool thats been launched is the Uk Aurora Map (Live Reports of Visible Aurora) by Matt Gray. Worth marking any sightings to give others a chance of seeing them see link http://www.mattg.co.uk/aurora/
#97
Posted 12 March 2012 - 11:18
Something's bumped magnetometers around the world just before 0930z, ACE and SOHO both detected a sudden increase in density and speed with a magnetic disturbance just after 0830z. The initial speed was just shy of 600km/s so likely our unpredictable fast-moving CME from the M8 flare.
The prize for nearest estimate of arrival time goes to... [drum roll].... no-one. Yep, none of the agencies stated 'early on the 12th' though Goddard were perhaps closest with their ENLIL bringing it in at 18z today, though the SWPC could be equally as close with 'late on the 11th'?
Attached ACE and SOHO solar wind data, and geomag pulse from various magnetometers around the world via BGS.
The prize for nearest estimate of arrival time goes to... [drum roll].... no-one. Yep, none of the agencies stated 'early on the 12th' though Goddard were perhaps closest with their ENLIL bringing it in at 18z today, though the SWPC could be equally as close with 'late on the 11th'?
Attached ACE and SOHO solar wind data, and geomag pulse from various magnetometers around the world via BGS.
Attached thumbnail(s)
#98
Posted 12 March 2012 - 12:45
Why couldn't it be clear and night.
Live link here. I find the Oval on this quite good. https://cssdp.ca/ssd...ts/rt_oval.html
Live link here. I find the Oval on this quite good. https://cssdp.ca/ssd...ts/rt_oval.html
Attached thumbnail(s)
#99
Posted 12 March 2012 - 14:31
SWPC Boulder registering Kp=6, current geomag storm of G2 conditions.
The Bz detected at ACE took a strong southward orientation resulting in this storm, though levels have become quite average since.
The Bz detected at ACE took a strong southward orientation resulting in this storm, though levels have become quite average since.
#100
- Group: Frouks
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- Joined: 17-January 07
- LocationClackmannanshire
Posted 12 March 2012 - 19:59
Some great photos there I had a good look last night here as we had clear skies to the north and west but I couldn't see anything, and even tried the camera on a long exposure. There's so much light pollution from the street lights round here and the Ochils immediately to the north that I don't know if I'd be able to see anything from here or not.
I had a good look last night here as we had clear skies to the north and west but I couldn't see anything, and even tried the camera on a long exposure. There's so much light pollution from the street lights round here and the Ochils immediately to the north that I don't know if I'd be able to see anything from here or not.
