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The real problem with our planet

#1 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 10:32

So what is global warming exactly?

Is it climate change in general or is it a measurable increase in temperature based on increased Co2 emmissions?

Your average non scientific member of the public would say that our climate is a diverse system that fluctuates and undulates in an unpredictable way.

Your average climate scientist would argue that it is because of increasing levels of Co2 that are turning up the thermostat of our planet (that's for John).

Now, here lies the problem. Firstly, can we prove it. I won't even attempt to answer that.

Secondly, if we can prove it what can we do about it. I will answer that.

Our planet is now populated at a level that cannot sustain itself. The population has increased exponentially over a very short period of time. The levels of poverty are higher than they have ever been, we have financial crisis after financial crisis and the level of unrest in the world is currently higher than I have ever witnessed.

Whilst all this is going on we have a group of scientists who seek only to determine the effect of all that on the temperature of the planet.

When I put things into perspective it makes the science of global warming a joke. An increase in temp that is still currently only 0.6 degrees above CET is irrelevant.

Not much point discussing a warmer planet when we are all killing ourselves and ruining this planet.

The problem with our species is we don't understand the concept of moderation, sharing, saving now for the sake of the future or any other analogies that you care to discuss.

Give you an example, and the banker's would do well to adopt this philosophy. I have been watching the holly tree in our garden over winter.

All those birds with brains the size of pea's, leave the berries on the tree because they may need them in harder times. A contingency plan let's call it. That bird knows that those berries will be there when it returns in colder weather. Is that bird also smart enough to know that the other birds will also leave them on the same basis - maybe so.

The human's way of thinking is "That's there, so I'll have that" Just like the banker's, wallowing in huge bonuses while things are good, but without making contigency plans for leaner times.

And this is our dilemma - for such an advanced species we are not actually that advanced at all. We are greedy, want more than everyone else, want the same amount of energy available to us per capita as any other nation. To live as long as everyone else. To have 2.4 children etc, etc, etc.

It comes down to energy supply vs demand and food supply vs demand. Anything else is irrelevant. The fact that the planet may be 1 or 2 degrees warmer - in my opinion, so what, it doesn't even register with me.

Fossil fuel supplies are dwindling and running out - we won't have to worry about Co2 emmissions before long, because there won't be any.

So what do we try and do. We all go eco. I know, let's build a wind farm or a tidal barrier, or put solar panels on the roof of every house on the planet.

It doesn't scratch the surface, becaue for every wind farm or any other example the population will increased such that it will make no difference. It may reduce the load, but it won't provide a permanent solution.

My solution - instead of wasting money paying climate scientists to prove a theory, spend the money on investment in nuclear energy (fusion). Educate our school kids about economics and sustainability. Teach them about recycling and the environment. I am sure there are many other examples.

As for the population - well, that will sort itself out eventually. It won't be because of a conscious decision that we make. There's only so much organic material on the planet - it is not a bottomless pit.

For me, after putting all that into context, global warming is somewhere at the bottom of the list in order or importance. It is nothing but a possible symptom of us destroying our planet through greed.

That is the Achile's heel of any argument that a climate scientist can ever put forward. And on that basis, this thread will probably have a very limited life span on here. it won't change anything however. :)

#2 User is offline   John Mason 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 11:51

I'll reply to your post point by point. I've had to lump some together because I got the message, "You have posted more than the allowed number of quoted blocks of text " when trying to do them individually. I've indented & italicised your points to make the post easier to read.


Chris Lloyd said:

So what is global warming exactly?

Is it climate change in general or is it a measurable increase in temperature based on increased Co2 emmissions?

Your average non scientific member of the public would say that our climate is a diverse system that fluctuates and undulates in an unpredictable way.




In fact, there is a very wide and confused cross-section of non-scientific public opinion. You only need to read the posts on WUWT, the Guardian or Daily Mail to see that.


Your average climate scientist would argue that it is because of increasing levels of Co2 that are turning up the thermostat of our planet (that's for John).
Now, here lies the problem. Firstly, can we prove it. I won't even attempt to answer that.

I will. Science does not work as an adversarial system like a court of law does, which is just as well as adversarial systems depend to an extent on the performing abilities of their adversaries! Using a phrase like "this proves that...." in a scientific paper should never pass peer-review. Science works via the weight of evidence, which is not proof, as either used in Law or in Pure Maths.

Secondly, if we can prove it what can we do about it. I will answer that.
Our planet is now populated at a level that cannot sustain itself. The population has increased exponentially over a very short period of time. The levels of poverty are higher than they have ever been, we have financial crisis after financial crisis and the level of unrest in the world is currently higher than I have ever witnessed.

Indeed, quite right thus far.....

Whilst all this is going on we have a group of scientists who seek only to determine the effect of all that on the temperature of the planet.
When I put things into perspective it makes the science of global warming a joke. An increase in temp that is still currently only 0.6 degrees above CET is irrelevant.

I haven't come across many climate scientists whose research has tied climate change's causes as economic crises and/or unrest. From my reply above, it follows that you are confusing climate science with political and humanitarian sciences. BTW - over 2C in the Arctic already. Always look north for the canary in the coal mine!

Not much point discussing a warmer planet when we are all killing ourselves and ruining this planet.

It's part of a bigger problem that has a multi-faceted nature - overpopulation and thoughtless consumerism in turn lead to resource depletion and climate destabilisation, which in combination do a neat job of depopulation.

The problem with our species is we don't understand the concept of moderation, sharing, saving now for the sake of the future or any other analogies that you care to discuss.

Sure. Well, some do - but many don't.

Give you an example, and the banker's would do well to adopt this philosophy. I have been watching the holly tree in our garden over winter.
All those birds with brains the size of pea's, leave the berries on the tree because they may need them in harder times. A contingency plan let's call it. That bird knows that those berries will be there when it returns in colder weather. Is that bird also smart enough to know that the other birds will also leave them on the same basis - maybe so.

And the consumer would advocate clear-felling the trees, putting a Tesco on the spot and selling berries to other consumers flown in weekly from New Zealand, in the name of Freedom of Choice! Birds are well smart by comparison because they still have to consider outcomes.

The human's way of thinking is "That's there, so I'll have that" Just like the banker's, wallowing in huge bonuses while things are good, but without making contigency plans for leaner times.
And this is our dilemma - for such an advanced species we are not actually that advanced at all. We are greedy, want more than everyone else, want the same amount of energy available to us per capita as any other nation. To live as long as everyone else. To have 2.4 children etc, etc, etc.

Indeed. Consumerism has allowed us to stop thinking about where the food we eat comes from, for example, to the extent that I have met children who do not know that apples come from trees. But the massive upsurge in grow-your-own is raising awareness in the right direction: we were not always so and can return to pre-consumerist days again with care.

It comes down to energy supply vs demand and food supply vs demand. Anything else is irrelevant. The fact that the planet may be 1 or 2 degrees warmer - in my opinion, so what, it doesn't even register with me.

Whether it registers or not at the moment is not that important. If we go to 4C warmer, I think it won't just be registering it will be screaming in everybody's face. The reason being that such a shift - through regional effects - is capable of making areas of Earth's surface uninhabitable to humans.


Fossil fuel supplies are dwindling and running out - we won't have to worry about Co2 emmissions before long, because there won't be any.
So what do we try and do. We all go eco. I know, let's build a wind farm or a tidal barrier, or put solar panels on the roof of every house on the planet.
It doesn't scratch the surface, becaue for every wind farm or any other example the population will increased such that it will make no difference. It may reduce the load, but it won't provide a permanent solution.


Oil may be on a bumpy peak plateau, but coal, gas, sands and shales are nowhere near a decline. WRT renewables, they can make a difference if done with a localised economy in mind - i.e. community projects, but first, the sense of community needs to be rebuilt. Consumerism has savaged it.

My solution - instead of wasting money paying climate scientists to prove a theory, spend the money on investment in nuclear energy (fusion). Educate our school kids about economics and sustainability. Teach them about recycling and the environment. I am sure there are many other examples.
As for the population - well, that will sort itself out eventually. It won't be because of a conscious decision that we make. There's only so much organic material on the planet - it is not a bottomless pit.

Climate science takes a teeny amount of scientific funding, plus see my notes about proof above. Nuclear fusion is being researched but has so far been a pipe-dream. We cannot safely assume this will change - techno-fantasy is a dangerous thing to commit ones entire future to as a species. We do increasingly educate kids about the things you list: these will be the survival-skills of future generations.

There are two ways we can go. Carry on party-binging until we slam into the buffers or reign-in our habits - including breeding, although remember that if nobody breeds then humans become extinct in any case!

For me, after putting all that into context, global warming is somewhere at the bottom of the list in order or importance. It is nothing but a possible symptom of us destroying our planet through greed.
That is the Achile's heel of any argument that a climate scientist can ever put forward. And on that basis, this thread will probably have a very limited life span on here. it won't change anything however. :)


"Nothing but" is a bit of an understatement, to put it mildly, since it looks likely that it will lead directly to the sixth of the great mass-extinctions! Note that many past mass-extinctions were caused by geologically abrupt climatic changes.

Most climate scientists don't tend to argue for policy, with a few notable exceptions such as Jim Hansen. They are either buried deep in their research (most I know) or buried in their research whilst fending-off the attacks that are becoming increasingly frequent - look how they went after Katherine Hayhoe recently. Her crime? To give up time to write a chapter on climate science for a book by Newt Gingrich. The chapter was pulled after the likes of Limbaugh went off on one about it, whipping up the mob that masquerades as the Tea Party over there.

Hope that makes my position vaguely clear!!

Cheers - John
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#3 User is offline   HSEA2 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 12:33

View PostChris Lloyd, on 12 February 2012 - 10:32, said:

For me, after putting all that into context, global warming is somewhere at the bottom of the list in order or importance. It is nothing but a possible symptom of us destroying our planet through greed.

That is the Achile's heel of any argument that a climate scientist can ever put forward. And on that basis, this thread will probably have a very limited life span on here. it won't change anything however. :)


What do you guys think of Thorium? I hear good things about it. Like it isnt deadly like the established nuclear fuels, that its plentiful and cheap.

I dont believe all this cold fusion stuff, i think it is a scam and that nasa guy talking about it is having a laugh.



Ultimately though, in a democracy people vote in their own short term interests, even if that goes against their children's interests or even their own longer term interests. Jimmy Carter talked of Americas unsustainable consumption in the late 70s and was promptly booted out of office. People don't want to hear it. They rather believe in pipe dreams, financial, ecological, whatever.






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#4 User is offline   ldavidcooke 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 15:23

Hey All,

First in response to Chris, many points you bring up have a ring of truth to them. However, the one standout error I saw was in assigning personification to birds. They have not been proven to think in the long term, they sre not known to plan beyond their next drink or bit of food. In essence, they leave holly berries alone as they do not like the taste in comparison to nearly any other option as best as I can tell. Some berries may even be slightly posionous; however, in light of dying from starvation or eating undesired food, nature has provided a way for the species to survive. It would not be less different in the case of western culture humans from surviving on a diet of rice or noodls, or for eastern cultures, a diet of buffalo or horse and fat. Sure you could survive; however, it is not your dietary preference.

As for John, much of the economics and humanities follow their environment. Politics is simply a luxury not a science, (my apologies to all the Polly Sci or economists out their). A society which tries to allow all voices, rather then the old "Might makes Right" philosophy guide them, is on the road less traveled. Not that the "narrow road" is a religious thing, it is just the idea that all that we have or are, is due to what or those who have gone before. Our choice is in what we do with it. (I will comment here inappropriately, religion and the environment should not be related. Nor should a religious belief ever have political power, simply put, they are two different things, one is the rule of the mind, the other is the rule of the heart, the heart should lead the mind and never should the mind attempt to lead the heart.)

(HSEA2, we also need to keep in mind that it is not capitialism; but, how it is structured that is the main issue. When the ability to get funding or investment is more focused on cash flow and not market size and the companies slice of the pie. The other issue is hostile take over, this practice needs to be banned as well, (the reason is that does not add value or increase the size of the market, it only increases the size of the slice). Hence, again, it is not capitailism; but, unethical economics, (IMHO).

As a market ages out the slices should get larger as the product or service is replaced.; however, that is based on an alternative or replacement product/service replacing the older. The issue is over long periods of time the ability to grow is limited and governments make the mistake of growing beyond their means. There in lies the requirement of fudiciary responsibility, if costs are stable, so should the income be stable. The problem is when growing you have demands without income and inversely when your are diminishing you have additional demands with dimishing income, (Unless as Chris suggests you have created a "emergency fund" of sorts. In short, proper funding removes the varibility and the inability to balance the budget....)

(John, I guess to put another way, it is when everyone crowds your end of the pier, trying for the one that got away or hope there was a bigger fish chasing your catch..., that s fine if everyone is fishing with the same pole/bait. It is when you have some employing a cane pole, others a bait caster and still others with a spinning rod. Each has a different purpose or ability and these should only be applied under the correct conditions. That does not mean anyone cannot change their equipment, only each needs to recognise that we have different capabilities and we need to recognise and be happy within our abilities. The problem is when the head tries to rule the heart. In short, follow your heart and you will be sucessful, following some elses path is the basic human error that leads to strife.)
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#5 User is offline   John Mason 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 16:58

But, all, the BIG question is how do we attempt to fix this? Do we deliberately ignore all things, uncaring for the future, or do we - somehow - attempt to figure out a way through? Guess I am asking: are we worth saving as a species, along with many other species around the world, and if we think that how can we do it most effectively? Chris, what solution do you have?

Cheers - John
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#6 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 19:22

View PostHSEA2, on 12 February 2012 - 12:33, said:

What do you guys think of Thorium? I hear good things about it. Like it isnt deadly like the established nuclear fuels, that its plentiful and cheap.

I dont believe all this cold fusion stuff, i think it is a scam and that nasa guy talking about it is having a laugh.



Ultimately though, in a democracy people vote in their own short term interests, even if that goes against their children's interests or even their own longer term interests. Jimmy Carter talked of Americas unsustainable consumption in the late 70s and was promptly booted out of office. People don't want to hear it. They rather believe in pipe dreams, financial, ecological, whatever.


And there lies the problem - it will be our downfall. We are at tipping point which I can't imagine many civilisations on other planets in the known Univers get past. Putting the longer good first instead of the now. Contingency has no place in our world. We are on self destruct.

And this is the only reason I treat global warming with a bit of cynicism. It's all about perspective.

#7 User is offline   ldavidcooke 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 19:32

Hey John,

Concur; yet, many of the cures are straight forward and basic politics get in the way. What we are seeing in the mddle east has been coming for a lng time. During periods of relative peace it is common for us to move away from reflecting on others to ourselves. What I believe we are seeing is frustration with politics. The problem, there is not a known, other choice, anytime we have rule by humans will always be riddled with corruption. Machines mafe by man would be no better, as machines run on programs which are also corruptable. The only true solution is bring everything in to the sunlight and oxygen.

The problem is there could no longer be a competative advantage to having secrets. There would be less crime and a greater distribution of wealth. The problem s many would have to go to work that currently "jet set" and many would have to revaluate their path in life. Could you just imagine what if we had to pay folk based on the service or product they offered to the world? Could you just see a sewage engineer making a salary near to that of a GP?

As to the financing busness operations, it is really a simple matter of changing the banking model and qualifications for loans. Then to take it to the next step change the size and interaction laws between businesses in the same market. The ability to deliver and complete a transaction should be a good measure of business efficiency, not necessarily the cost of sales versus net profit.

As for free markets, you saw my earlier post, not a problem. Get government out of the markets; but, also do not allow money to flow from one regional market to the next. Size businesses and farms to the smallest efficient size and set them up as either a public or private corporation; however, require both to disclose similar economic and market data. Require an across the board graduated tax and operations requiremens report.
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#8 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 19:33

View PostJohn Mason, on 12 February 2012 - 16:58, said:

But, all, the BIG question is how do we attempt to fix this? Do we deliberately ignore all things, uncaring for the future, or do we - somehow - attempt to figure out a way through? Guess I am asking: are we worth saving as a species, along with many other species around the world, and if we think that how can we do it most effectively? Chris, what solution do you have?

Cheers - John


Great posts John. Whether or not we are worth saving is immaterial because we don't have the good sense to change. To make contingencies for the future just does not fit into our mindset. It's all about now. And that is the downfall of any species.

Locusts come to mind.

People may laugh, but that is the reality of the situation.

#9 User is offline   HSEA2 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 19:59

View PostChris Lloyd, on 12 February 2012 - 19:22, said:

And there lies the problem - it will be our downfall. We are at tipping point which I can't imagine many civilisations on other planets in the known Univers get past. Putting the longer good first instead of the now. Contingency has no place in our world. We are on self destruct.

And this is the only reason I treat global warming with a bit of cynicism. It's all about perspective.


Well, speak for yourself. I have a bunker full of baked beans and other tinned goodies that would make Alex Jones salivate Posted Image
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#10 User is offline   Peter H 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 20:24

View PostChris Lloyd, on 12 February 2012 - 19:33, said:

Great posts John. Whether or not we are worth saving is immaterial because we don't have the good sense to change. To make contingencies for the future just does not fit into our mindset. It's all about now. And that is the downfall of any species.

Locusts come to mind.

People may laugh, but that is the reality of the situation.


Then why have children?

This post has been edited by Peter H: 12 February 2012 - 20:26

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#11 User is online   Nigel Bolton 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 21:18

View PostPeter H, on 12 February 2012 - 20:24, said:

Then why have children?


It's a great way of maximising welfare benefits, at least here in the UK.

N.
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#12 User is offline   andre 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 21:41

Using the same title, I'd have a somewhat different approach, the real problem with this planet is that it is dominated by a non-rational species, unable to do an objective analysis of the main problems due to something called politics, but actually due to the prevailing instincts that this species needed to survive a hostile environment, but that stands in the way now he succeeeded doing that..
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#13 User is offline   Paul Domaille 

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Posted 12 February 2012 - 22:40

So what is global warming exactly?
Just to be a littlebit pedantic, Global warming is a general increase in the heat content of the worlds oceans and atmosphere, it may be caused by inhabitants or it may occur naturally as it has done many times in the past (as has global cooling).
A friend and myself happen to both sit on several committees, one is of a static 12 people and the other started out some 11 years ago as a committee of 2 and has now grown to about 15. A standing joke between us is that a committee of two (or preferably one) gets things done far easier and more effectively ! maybe the ideal outcome is a sympathetic Oligarchy ;)
Cheers,
Paul D
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#14 User is offline   John Mason 

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Posted 13 February 2012 - 06:27

Paul, I have always preferred climate destabilisation. Global warming is too inaccurate and climate change is vague and woolly. Destabilisation illustrates that a relatively stable climate has allowed our civilisation to develop, flourish and expand and it is precisely those benign conditions that we are in the process of leaving behind.

Andre, Chris - current events in Greece illustrate that we seem to have lost a lot of the ability to act collectively for the common good and long-term stability.

Cheers - John
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#15 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*

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Posted 13 February 2012 - 10:00

View PostPaul Domaille, on 12 February 2012 - 22:40, said:

So what is global warming exactly?
Just to be a littlebit pedantic, Global warming is a general increase in the heat content of the worlds oceans and atmosphere, it may be caused by inhabitants or it may occur naturally as it has done many times in the past (as has global cooling).


That's all I have said. Global warming or even global cooling is a trend in our weather. There is no disputing that.

Is it being caused by humans or is it natural. That is what we don't know :)

#16 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*

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Posted 13 February 2012 - 10:04

View PostHSEA2, on 12 February 2012 - 19:59, said:

Well, speak for yourself. I have a bunker full of baked beans and other tinned goodies that would make Alex Jones salivate Posted Image


You could have chosen another food. Given the damaging effect of methane there are more PC foods to stock up on if you wish to save the planet. :lol:

#17 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*

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Posted 13 February 2012 - 10:07

View PostPeter H, on 12 February 2012 - 20:24, said:

Then why have children?


In context Peter - "how many" should be your question.

If you stick to "why have children"that would defeat the whole point of a species in the first place.

There are degrees of everything, and blanket responses like that are pointless.

#18 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*

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Posted 13 February 2012 - 10:12

View PostJohn Mason, on 13 February 2012 - 06:27, said:

Paul, I have always preferred climate destabilisation. Global warming is too inaccurate and climate change is vague and woolly. Destabilisation illustrates that a relatively stable climate has allowed our civilisation to develop, flourish and expand and it is precisely those benign conditions that we are in the process of leaving behind.

Andre, Chris - current events in Greece illustrate that we seem to have lost a lot of the ability to act collectively for the common good and long-term stability.

Cheers - John


There's absolutely no disputing what's behind it all. At that is the whole point of the thread. Discussing the effects on temperature is just scratching at the surface really. Co2 is a by product of the problem. You can't resolve that unless you resolve the problem in the first place.

No-one can dispute that. And I don't just throw it into the mix to be awkward, obvious, rhetorical, whatever the terminology. It is a fact, and we need to be concentrating our collective minds on more serious matters.

#19 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*

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Posted 13 February 2012 - 19:08

Come on Peter. If you wish to breeze into a thread the least you can do is answer my response. :P

#20 User is offline   Peter H 

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Posted 13 February 2012 - 19:14

View PostChris Lloyd, on 13 February 2012 - 10:07, said:

In context Peter - "how many" should be your question.

If you stick to "why have children"that would defeat the whole point of a species in the first place.

There are degrees of everything, and blanket responses like that are pointless.


Chris, that reply was specifically to your post where you used words like 'downfall of species' and 'locusts' to imply(?) we've had it? My post was to say if we're that 'bad' why would anyone think we're worth perpetuating?

Fwiw, I've known for all my life there are too many of us. I'd advocate all the usual approaches to that problem. But, as I've said before, this is a climate forum.

This post has been edited by Peter H: 13 February 2012 - 19:14

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