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and on it goes.. http://www.meteociel...t=1&x=298&y=145 This for the Oxford area
GFS op has been a bt of an cold (slightly wetter) outlier for last 5-6 runs now
Model Chat. Early To Mid Spring 2012.
#26
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Posted 10 March 2012 - 12:06
#27
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Posted 10 March 2012 - 23:13
Its looking remarkably warm this coming week, I'm looking forward to it 
Very HP dominated and GFS keeps postponing the cooler conditions - and even then there isn't much rain on it...
Very HP dominated and GFS keeps postponing the cooler conditions - and even then there isn't much rain on it...
#29
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Posted 11 March 2012 - 18:46
...and there could be a need for a TS outlook next weekend. 
#30
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Posted 12 March 2012 - 23:31
18Z GFS Shows a slack low positioning itself over England for the weekend - looks like being a damp one for most of England and Wales. ECM 12Z in agreement. All models show a trough covering the whole UK so fresher conditions expected for a couple of days thereafter.
#31
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Posted 13 March 2012 - 12:57
Looks like a more unsettled period for UK coming up from the 17th-21st now.. cooler too
#32 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*
Posted 14 March 2012 - 09:05
Well, if this is high pressure I don't want it. Maxed out at 10 degrees yesterday and today isn't looking any better
#33
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Posted 14 March 2012 - 14:46
Quite possibly the best agreement I've ever seen from the London GFS ensembles. Looks like things will be warm and settled across Europe following this weekend slight disturbance.
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#34 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*
Posted 14 March 2012 - 18:27
850hpa temps of 5 degrees are hardly warm Chris.
#35
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Posted 14 March 2012 - 18:32
Chris Lloyd, on 14 March 2012 - 18:27, said:
850hpa temps of 5 degrees are hardly warm Chris.
Well warmth may well depend on insolation now that we near the equinox. That said this week's HP hasn't exactly delivered consistent clear skies for everyone.
#36 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*
Posted 14 March 2012 - 18:36
Big Dave, on 14 March 2012 - 18:32, said:
Well warmth may well depend on insolation now that we near the equinox. That said this week's HP hasn't exactly delivered consistent clear skies for everyone.
It's been dull here too. Sun came out at 3-30. Nice clear skies now.
I have just looked at GFS too and there is no sign of even positive 850 temps in the near future. Sticking around zero or below for a good while
This post has been edited by Chris Lloyd: 14 March 2012 - 18:36
#37
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Posted 14 March 2012 - 18:54
Chris Lloyd, on 14 March 2012 - 18:36, said:
It's been dull here too. Sun came out at 3-30. Nice clear skies now.
I have just looked at GFS too and there is no sign of even positive 850 temps in the near future. Sticking around zero or below for a good while
I have just looked at GFS too and there is no sign of even positive 850 temps in the near future. Sticking around zero or below for a good while
Eh? They just dip below 0C for 2 days as far as i can see? http://www.meteociel...t=1&x=301&y=142
#38
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Posted 14 March 2012 - 18:57
Also the rather more unsettled period that was progged is now reduced to just 1 1/2 days as well..
#39 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*
Posted 14 March 2012 - 19:08
Dave W, on 14 March 2012 - 18:54, said:
Eh? They just dip below 0C for 2 days as far as i can see? http://www.meteociel...t=1&x=301&y=142
I was looking at the GFS charts on Netweather Dave. They don't show anything warm at all.
I suppose the chart you posted is more reliable as it shows all the runs and the average of them.
#40
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Posted 14 March 2012 - 19:15
They are the same charts Chris?! Show me the link though can you that you were looking at.. ?
#41
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Posted 14 March 2012 - 20:06
Maybe Chris meant the ops run as opposed to the ensembles
#42
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Posted 14 March 2012 - 20:32
That closely follows the mean though Ian?
#43
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Posted 14 March 2012 - 20:35
Dave W, on 14 March 2012 - 20:32, said:
That closely follows the mean though Ian?
LOL, Funny enough after posting that i checked and indeed it does Dave
#44
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Posted 15 March 2012 - 18:25
GFS is hinting at frosts most mornings down here next week. We had an unexpected frost this morning too.
The weekend showers look like being the last of any rain for a while, though we're about average atm here.
The weekend showers look like being the last of any rain for a while, though we're about average atm here.
#45 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*
Posted 15 March 2012 - 22:47
Ian Williams, on 14 March 2012 - 20:06, said:
Maybe Chris meant the ops run as opposed to the ensembles
If you mean the weather charts, yes. I was looking at the contours of the 850hpa's and they were struggling around 0 to 2 degrees.
It's changed a lot now anyway to more warmer weather than when I quoted it.
