[Nigel Bolton]

Thing is with temperatures and weather types in the Spring, is they can change so rapidly.

Take 1975. Lots of northern outbreaks with heavy snow showers, especially during April. After snow on 2nd June as far south as Essex, it warmed up very rapidly, and much of the rest of the summer was fine and hot with scattered severe thunderstorms, with temperatures often above 30C during the first two weeks of August.

We have had five warm and sunny Springs, and for many, five disappointing summers. Perhaps, and I mean perhaps, this year, a dissapointing Spring will be followed by a fine summer.

N.

[Dave K]

So although the models did fluctuate over the last few days when it comes to precise detail, they certainly nailed the probablility that this weekend would be a cold one for most and damp one for the south from around 8 days out.

With the highest probablity again in this range keeping it changeable with - at best - slightly average temperatures in prospect, any chances of even a brief surge of warmth and spell of dryness have to be regarded as highly improbable before mid-month. And that applies to the whole of the UK and Ireland too, not just the east

At least next weekend, at this point, looks rather better than this one though!

[Chris Alder]

Unsurprising but still disappointing shift away from the breif warm up at the end of the week (shows how bad it must be if that's all there was to get excited about) either way though the continued theme of hp to the north west is just disheartening.

[Uskys]

But a right battleground this week between an elongageted depression squeezed eastward by cold air to the north and mild air to the south, with many trailing weather fronts that could lye over some areas for a day or more.

[Dave K]

Uskys, on 06 May 2012 - 10:42, said:

But a right battleground this week between an elongageted depression squeezed eastward by cold air to the north and mild air to the south, with many trailing weather fronts that could lye over some areas for a day or more.

GFS 06z looks very peculiar, with Thursday maxima at 18 °C for eastern England and 1 °C for central Scotland. Oh, and back to sub 10 °C maxes for S England on Friday!

This post has been edited by Big Dave's Gusset: 06 May 2012 - 11:04

[Ian Williams]

Time for a new thread and hopefully new hope!



http://www.ukweather...ly-summer-2012/