Model Chat. Early To Mid Spring 2012.
#45 Guest_Chris Lloyd_*
Posted 15 March 2012 - 22:47
If you mean the weather charts, yes. I was looking at the contours of the 850hpa's and they were struggling around 0 to 2 degrees.
It's changed a lot now anyway to more warmer weather than when I quoted it.
Posted 16 March 2012 - 11:01
Still with Easter just around the corner, I'm sure our wonderful climate will come up with Biblical amounts of rain over that 4day period.....
Posted 19 March 2012 - 09:43
Posted 19 March 2012 - 10:21
Maybe not but I've still only had 86mm so far this year which is less than 50% of what would be expected on top of that a 200+mm deficit from last year. If the dry weather continues for another month I think those areas affected by current drought orders/restrictons will be expanded.
Everytime the models look like introducing some sort of unsettled conditions the door is firmly closed again in the next model run. As I've said before, as each day passes I'm becoming more and more worried about a more lenghty change to unsettled and unseasonabley cool in either late Spring or Summer.
Posted 20 March 2012 - 09:37
Posted 20 March 2012 - 19:35
The 12Z ECM op is much more settled still though than its 00Z predecessor was and less chilly keeping high pressure much more dominant over the Uk .
Posted 21 March 2012 - 11:18
Posted 22 March 2012 - 10:17
With slack winds as well as large portion of the country should join in on the very warm early spring weather.