Thanks, I'll take a look.
May Day BH weekend weather chat
Posted 02 May 2012 - 11:00
I know this has been mentioned before given GFS 06Z has alot of drizzle, low cloud and mist I'm not sure I can see all that cloud clearing quick enough to allow a rapid enough temp drop to -7C.
Posted 02 May 2012 - 11:12
And as Chris says, it's not going to be cold, damp and cloudy by day with clear skies and sharp frosts by night! So either day or night temps will be higher than GFS is suggesting. Probably both IMO.
Posted 02 May 2012 - 11:12
It's totally at odds with its prediction for cloud cover at the same time. Will be interesting to see what other (less flappable) models say in the coming days.
Still looks as if my site low maximum daily records are under threat for the 5th/6th/7th as the existing records are all above 10 °C. I'm hoping the GFS temps, while vaguely amusing in a masochistic way, are overdoing the chill!
This post has been edited by Big Dave's Gusset: 02 May 2012 - 11:13
Posted 02 May 2012 - 12:06
Some idea can be gained from Met O forecast temps, can't they? Not sure if they will be completely UKMO or have some ECMWF influence.
However, the Meteogroup temp forecasts are based on ECMWF and they now extend to the weekend on Weatherpro.
So for example, WeatherPro is showing 2C mins and 8C & 10C maxes for sheffield.
MetO's droid app is showing 2C & 1C mins and 7C & 8C maxes for my actual location in S8.
The MetO website for Sheffield is showing 0C mins 3C and 8C and 9C maxes ( http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html ).
So that would suggest the UKMO and ECMWF are showing nothing lower than 0C for a min, and 7-10C for maxes.
Or is there some extra manual input that's going into "fixing" similar raw output values as GFS?
Posted 03 May 2012 - 10:17
I was quite surprised looking though my records of the few sub 10°C maxes here during May since 1985. I havn't counted them but its only around 10 to 15 times.. thats all.
1996 is the lowest with 6.3°C .
Posted 03 May 2012 - 11:27
Posted 03 May 2012 - 12:42
Just seems to keep pumping cloud ceaselessly from east to west. Has to be said that most of Scotland and NI looks like it's having a lovely day!
BTW GFS drastically revised its Tmin forecasts for this weekend, much more in line with UKMO now with just isolated light frosts.
This post has been edited by Big Dave's Gusset: 03 May 2012 - 12:50
Posted 03 May 2012 - 13:54
Certainly not going according to my own forecast for my locale published on my website. As Big Dave says, 'Just seems to keep pumping cloud ceaselessly from east to west' . Now, thats what i was expecting, but with the conveyor belt of rain gradually shifting north and fizzling out doing so. Will have to put an apology on the site tomorrow
Posted 03 May 2012 - 14:02
Posted 03 May 2012 - 15:05
British Asparagus Festival cancelled due to flooding
An asparagus festival in Worcestershire has been cancelled following the recent bad weather.
Organisers of the British Asparagus Festival on Saturday said the "incessant rain and floods" had severely affected the local crop.
The planned venue for the festival - Workman Gardens in Evesham - has also been flooded by the River Avon.
Posted 03 May 2012 - 17:07
Just to note, it's up now and actually, I don't think it's later than usual. I think I just checked earlier than usual.
Posted 03 May 2012 - 21:11
That 2007 one didn't bode well for the summer!!