: Convective Chat Mon 07/05/2012 -

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Convective Chat Mon 07/05/2012

#26 User is offline   Dave Hancox  

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Posted 08 May 2012 - 05:45

Due to Monday 7th being a busy day i have given it it own thread. New thread started for Tuesday 8th. http://www.ukweather...=new_post&f=133
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#27 User is offline   smartie 

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Posted 08 May 2012 - 10:57

Rough run of GFS-WRF init 06Z 9-3-1km grids. Produces a storm with a rotating updraught about the right place and time. Model storm has an intense core >50dBz suggestive of hail, a trailing 'flanking line' with RFD like feature, inflow notch and vort max (~0.04 s^-1). Suggestion of an over-shooting top at ~7-8km.
Model sounding from the inflow regions shows surface winds backed to the SSE, moderately high shear but only weak CAPE with a storm top only around 500 hPa. Nb the small CIN, low LCL and quasi-straight hodograph.
Overall the morphology supports Tony's suggestion this storm may have a 'cycling' aspect to it and it would be interesting to see what kind of track or tracks an SI could find.

Best,
David

Attached Image: 201120507r01d03_rfl.jpg
Attached Image: 201120507r01d03_sdg.gif

This post has been edited by smartie: 08 May 2012 - 11:03

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#28 User is offline   Lightningfox92 

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Posted 08 May 2012 - 17:33

Any updates on Wednesday's rain? It looks pretty bad tomorrow evening so don't know if thunder and lightning are possible?

It looked amazing on bbc weather with so much rain.
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#29 User is offline   Chris Alder 

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Posted 08 May 2012 - 18:25

View PostLightningfox92, on 08 May 2012 - 17:33, said:

Any updates on Wednesday's rain? It looks pretty bad tomorrow evening so don't know if thunder and lightning are possible?

It looked amazing on bbc weather with so much rain.


Looks like just normal rain Jamie Im afraid.
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#30 User is offline   Lightningfox92 

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Posted 08 May 2012 - 20:41

View PostChris Alder, on 08 May 2012 - 18:25, said:

Looks like just normal rain Jamie Im afraid.



Ok :(
Thanks Chris ;)
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