[weathergirl]

After being completely clear here all day, cloud now starting to bubble to our East.

[Andy Mayhew]

Tony Gilbert, on 23 May 2012 - 15:42, said:

In fact the 12Z soundings give a stout cap at low levels right across the board. If this remains the case then only orographic lifting above this level can develop convection today!

Looks like the Southern Uplands are providing that lift!

[Adam D]

Well, it looked like the storm had cleared off as the sun came out, but it has started raining again and bang, a flash of lightning above the house!

It's lashing down again as well.

[Lightningfox92]

Just watched the weather on bbc1 and the weatherman said that on Sunday there could be a thundery breakdown here in the southwest!! I know the chance is low but I'm probably going to get excited as its in my nature.

That would be awesome if there was some severe storms Sunday night!!!!

[Lightningfox92]

Could do with a few thunderstorms to cheer me up

[Ed.]

Reminds me of a story Jamie, many moons ago during one hot, sultry albeit very misty night..when a few very faint distant flashes of lightning soon became a raging overhead TS, fairly typical of a plume event i can imagine, the storm which literally came right out of the blue to my surprise!...as for today? some forecasts are going for a few more scattered storms and there's certainly a sticky feel - but let's be honest here, the season has only just began.Enjoy the warmth!

[Nigel Bolton]

Nigel Bolton, on 22 May 2012 - 14:49, said:

This type of situation is often down to convergence. With the air dry, any convection will be very isolated, perhaps forced by elevated heat source and convergence over the Pennines.

One other area that is notably prone in situations such as this is just to the northeast of Southampton. Here we expect to see the countries highest temperatures, coupled with the aspect of the South Downs, and also how the sea breeze in this type of situation tends to bend around the Isle of Wight and converge in the Eastleigh-Bishop's Waltham area. Have seen singular Cb develop in this area in sluggish heat on a number of occasions.

N.

Still have same thoughts.

Keep an eye northeast of Southampton. Low risk, but if it fires, will go suddenly.

Elevated heat sources. Northeast Scotland, particularly Cairngorms. Two way sea breeze, plus convergence, plus elevated heat source likely to spark some slow moving and really sparky storms here.

N.

[Nigel Bolton]

A few showers now over northeast Scotland.

N.

[Lightningfox92]

Ed Shrops, on 24 May 2012 - 10:43, said:

Reminds me of a story Jamie, many moons ago during one hot, sultry albeit very misty night..when a few very faint distant flashes of lightning soon became a raging overhead TS, fairly typical of a plume event i can imagine, the storm which literally came right out of the blue to my surprise!...as for today? some forecasts are going for a few more scattered storms and there's certainly a sticky feel - but let's be honest here, the season has only just began.Enjoy the warmth!

Cheers Ed, would be a nice surprise
I hope we get lots of Spanish plume events this summer as its a fantastic way to end a hot day and it's lovely to watch at night

[Andy Mayhew]

Looks like the Cairngorms are the place to be today: some nice convection kicking off there! A few showers starting up the Pennines too.

[Dave Hancox]

Looks like some cell development on the borders of Scotland too, and in the North of England as well . Hopefully some will see some storms today.

[Mike Adams]

Yep and those Scottish cells look like they will stick around throughout the evening

[00ctober]

Powerful line of bubbly convection to my NE & E, and one cell to my N in the distance observed through haze. One to my N looks like the cell near Penrith, but the others are yet to produce precip on radar.

[00ctober]

00ctober, on 24 May 2012 - 15:03, said:

Powerful line of bubbly convection to my NE & E, and one cell to my N in the distance observed through haze. One to my N looks like the cell near Penrith, but the others are yet to produce precip on radar.

New shower has just appeared now about 20 miles NW of Skipton, to my NE.

[Lightningfox92]

Just said on bbc weather that I may get storms Saturday and Sunday WAHOOO!!!

Also storms up in Scotland and north England this evening and possibly tomorrow

[Lightning Hunter]

Nigel Bolton, on 24 May 2012 - 12:00, said:

Still have same thoughts.

Keep an eye northeast of Southampton. Low risk, but if it fires, will go suddenly.

There was a brief period of weak convection just north of Southampton earlier, but rapidly evaporating at the top before getting any depth to them. Fizzled to not much now and they didn't even block the sunshine for long

[gord]

Something is trying to develop just south west of me here in Stourbridge...seems a messy afair right now though.

[Ed.]

gord, on 24 May 2012 - 18:06, said:

Something is trying to develop just south west of me here in Stourbridge...seems a messy afair right now though.

LOL guess it's nowt to do with the Hagley Road then! at one point almost yes it most definitely felt like perfect conditions for a rogue TS even a hefty shower to break out - see my separate thread, main question is why not? and what stopped them?

[Chris Alder]

Lots of sferics off to the south west of the Scily isles at the moment. I wonder whether there wills be a light show tonight?

[Lightningfox92]

Looking great on radar but it's moving rather slow, they may fire up inland if they loose intensity at sea. Hopefully I'll get a good light show, will be a fantastic weekend treat!