: Convective Chat 21st May onwards -

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Convective Chat 21st May onwards

#41 User is offline   Lightning Hunter 

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Posted 24 May 2012 - 17:34

View PostNigel Bolton, on 24 May 2012 - 12:00, said:

Still have same thoughts.

Keep an eye northeast of Southampton. Low risk, but if it fires, will go suddenly.



There was a brief period of weak convection just north of Southampton earlier, but rapidly evaporating at the top before getting any depth to them. Fizzled to not much now and they didn't even block the sunshine for long :)
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#42 User is offline   gord 

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Posted 24 May 2012 - 18:06

Something is trying to develop just south west of me here in Stourbridge...seems a messy afair right now though.
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#43 User is offline   Ed. 

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Posted 24 May 2012 - 23:17

View Postgord, on 24 May 2012 - 18:06, said:

Something is trying to develop just south west of me here in Stourbridge...seems a messy afair right now though.


LOL guess it's nowt to do with the Hagley Road then! at one point almost yes it most definitely felt like perfect conditions for a rogue TS even a hefty shower to break out - see my separate thread, main question is why not? and what stopped them?



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#44 User is offline   Chris Alder 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 10:43

Lots of sferics off to the south west of the Scily isles at the moment. I wonder whether there wills be a light show tonight?
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#45 User is offline   Lightningfox92 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 11:19

Looking great on radar but it's moving rather slow, they may fire up inland if they loose intensity at sea. Hopefully I'll get a good light show, will be a fantastic weekend treat!
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#46 User is offline   Lightningfox92 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 11:30

I'm in the cinema right now, but still watching radar, oh wait gotta go!
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#47 User is offline   JOKE_SNOW 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 11:30

189 strikes/ph on strike detector. It's a long shot but i'm hoping forcing manages to trigger something off across the Midlands sometime throughout the weekend. Looks to be something firing off close to Welshpool @ 1800 but only briefly.
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#48 User is offline   Wiseacre 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 13:30

Line of storms has just brushed past the Scillies;


EGHE 261320Z 12011KT 9999 FEW015 SCT023 14/12 Q1014
EGHE 261250Z 09014KT 9999 VCTS FEW015CB SCT035 15/12 Q1014

EGHE 261220Z 09015KT 9999 VCTS FEW015 SCT034 15/12 Q1014
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#49 User is offline   Dave W 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 13:43

Sferics are dying out in Sw now though..
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#50 User is offline   Chris Alder 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 14:08

View PostDave W, on 26 May 2012 - 13:43, said:

Sferics are dying out in Sw now though..


What's the betting they'll be little in the way of lightning and the rain and cloud will ruin tomorrow for parts of the south west including here.
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#51 User is offline   ChaserUK 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 14:34

My fingers are certainley crossed for this evening and tonight but front looks fairly inactive to my S and SW right now.
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#52 User is offline   Lightningfox92 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 14:53

Doesn't look like there will be storms now unless they fire up inland but it will probably be crappy rain and no sun :(
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#53 User is offline   JOKE_SNOW 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 15:03

Beeb now also going along the lines of expecting forcing to be a trigger throughout the central areas with the remnants of the CF being significant enough to trigger something off. Some 24hours before that happens however and with drier air still aloft capping things the added DPs can only mean yet more increased humidity if it can't be transitioned.
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#54 User is offline   ChaserUK 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 15:23

Nice little cell popped off N of Angers in France just now.
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#55 User is offline   Dave W 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 17:20

We need a convective reports thread! There are TS sferics just south of the Lizard now..
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#56 User is online   PJB 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 17:23

and throughout the Isles of Scilly and not that far south of Jersey.
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#57 User is offline   Dave W 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 17:26

Paul do you think that rainband is as heavy as it looks on radar, quite a nasty little band of pptn if so..?
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#58 User is offline   Chris Alder 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 17:32

A lot of sferics now across the tip of Cornwall! Should be a great light show tonight down there!
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#59 User is online   Andy Mayhew 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 17:42

Blimey! Just seen that. Oh to be in Cornwall this evening. Obviously it'll have died out long before it gets anywhere near here. Still, excitement for some.
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#60 User is online   PJB 

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Posted 26 May 2012 - 17:42

View PostDave W, on 26 May 2012 - 17:26, said:

Paul do you think that rainband is as heavy as it looks on radar, quite a nasty little band of pptn if so..?


Its quite heavy, though the echoes need to be taken with the knowledge Predannack is out of the Radar Network, and the Cornish echoes are a the edge of Cobbacombe Cross Radar. However the echoes from the radar at Jersey are similar which is in the Network so no obvious reason to disbelieve. Also HRV & EIR Meteosat Imagery indicates some quite towering CBs.
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