Model Chat - Early to mId Autumn 2012
Posted 27 August 2012 - 13:24
Posted 27 August 2012 - 17:18
Posted 01 September 2012 - 09:29
Posted 01 September 2012 - 18:35
Posted 02 September 2012 - 09:43
Yes it does look pleasent doesn't it, however as this weekend has shown the HP only has to shift or not build in as strongly as first suggested and a belting weekend or few days become distinctly disappointing.
Posted 02 September 2012 - 09:59
Closer to home, no extremes of any sorts which can't be a bad thing tbh - that can of course change at anytime.A kinder spell of wx looking imminent into the foreseeable/reliable time frame.
Posted 02 September 2012 - 18:32
Posted 04 September 2012 - 09:19
the shorter term >72hrs indicated the downgrade imo , todays 00z fax continues with this and although the warm air is up in wales and the midlands friday I can see it being wet by sunday with hp just a memory.
Posted 04 September 2012 - 10:18
I think most places in E&W will see a good day Sat & Sun, however cloud will be extending down from the NW by Sunday so not such a great day for Sctoland and NI. But yes defo downgrade for the start of next week.
Hopefully things in reality won't speed up and bring the breakdown during the weekend, that again would be emmensely frustrating following last weekend persisent cloud and drizzle after for so long it looked like being warm and sunny, surely that can't happen two weekends on the trot or will the curse of the weekend strike again?
Posted 04 September 2012 - 10:57
? Fronts across the North UK will be weakening features so only 'real' rain should be concentrated across the far north...and there is no real rain in sight Sunday so whey would you think it would be wet?
Posted 04 September 2012 - 12:09
just a possible outcome from watching the models... high pressure dominance has been decreased for the last 3 runs by the meto and I can see the possibility it will be replaced by cyclonic flow. (amongst other possibilities of course)
Posted 04 September 2012 - 12:20
HP is dominant feature through to Sunday across the UK, with trough intrusion in far NW through Sunday and likely rest of UK through Monday. Im not sure the HP dominance was ever progged much beyond that. Perhaps, we should't look much beyond the weekend really as you as much as I do Andreas that 5 days is a long time in Weather. Although not really indicated, I wouldn't be surprised to see the HP re-asserting itself, beyond the weekend, particularly across southern and eastern parts.